Tropical Cyclone Alert Statement

WHCA31 TAPA  

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (AL91) ALERT STATEMENT  ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES  3:10 AM ECT FRI, SEP 2, 2022  

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS  

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE  LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A  TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF  CONCERN BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS  TIME.  

CURRENTLY, THE DISTURBANCE POSES A LOW THREAT TO THE  FORECAST AREA; HENCE APART FROM CONTINUED MONITORING,  NO OTHER ACTIONS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. 

AT 8 PM ECT OR 0000 UTC THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED  APPROXIMATELY 423 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND  614 MILES EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10  

(MPH AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT  COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK, THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST  TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS ON FRIDAY AND  SATURDAY; HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO  HOW FAR IT WILL PASS FROM THE ISLANDS BECAUSE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER IS NOT YET FORMED.  

BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, SIGNIFICANT  WIND IMPACTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED; HOWEVER, SWELLS  FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE  CONDITIONS FOR BEACH-GOERS DURING THE WEEKEND.  

RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS  OF THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.  

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 8 AM ECT OR 1200UTC.  

FORECASTER  

PATRICE EDWARDS

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